Polymarket Trader

doomcat4208

0x49ce241ea7f07d3620e216ec1542d3f5f1e9b599

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $28.21
Realized PnL: $4.24K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.36K
Potential profit: $4.36K
User PnL: -$88.36

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.28K
Potential profit: $4.28K
User PnL: -$309.99

Yes position

Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic Party before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.78K
Potential profit: $2.78K
User PnL: -$111

Yes position

Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.51K
Potential profit: $2.51K
User PnL: -$414.6

Yes position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $2.01K
User PnL: -$14.76

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.78K
Potential profit: $1.78K
User PnL: -$31

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.34K
User PnL: -$31

Yes position

Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $940.37
Potential profit: $940.37
User PnL: -$17.9

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $893.5
Potential profit: $893.5
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 23?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $765.5
Potential profit: $765.5
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $757.02
Potential profit: $757.02
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $714.29
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown end between February 20-23, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $690.77
Potential profit: $690.77
User PnL: -$23

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $595.24
Potential profit: $595.24
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $28.21
Potential payout: $593.86
Potential profit: $565.65
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: $8.21

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $550.54
Potential profit: $550.54
User PnL: -$17

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $526.32
Potential profit: $526.32
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 23?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown end between February 16-19, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $459.49
Potential profit: $459.49
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $446.16
Potential profit: $446.16
User PnL: -$30

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Caroline Ellison sentenced to 24-35 months in prison?

Ends Sep 24, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $515.51

Yes position

Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $440

Yes position

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $388.28

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $375.22

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $323.48

Yes position

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $259.47

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $248.6

No position

Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.33

Yes position

Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.9

Commanders position

Bengals vs. Commanders

Ends Sep 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.62

No position

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.75

Yes position

Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.37

Yes position

Trump nominates Tulsi Gabbard to Cabinet?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105

Giants position

Browns vs. Giants

Ends Sep 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.93

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.5

No position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.34

Yes position

Will Trump win Texas by 10+ points?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

No position

Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.71

Yes position

Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.22

Yes position

Iran strike on Israel before November?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.06

No position

Daniel Penny found guilty?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.6

No position

Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.33

Yes position

Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump say "Nuclear" 15+ times during Speech to the Nation?

Yes 5% 100 shares
Will Trump say "Iran" or "Iranian" 20+ times during Speech to the Nation?

Yes 7% 428.57 shares
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Speech to the Nation?

Yes 29.7% 101 shares
Will Trump say "Transgender" during Speech to the Nation?

Yes 23% 130.43 shares
Will Trump say "Annihilated" or "Annihilating" during Speech to the Nation?

Yes 23.9% 83.78 shares
Will Trump say "World Cup" during Speech to the Nation?

Yes 25.6% 156.04 shares
Will Trump say "Iraq" during Speech to the Nation?

Yes 18% 222.22 shares
Will Trump say "Maduro" during Speech to the Nation?

No 41% 48.78 shares
Will Trump say "China" during Speech to the Nation?

No 12.7% 156.92 shares
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Speech to the Nation?

Yes 15% 133.33 shares
Will Trump say "Ukraine" during Speech to the Nation?

Yes 16% 187.5 shares
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" during Speech to the Nation?

Yes 35% 57.14 shares