No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $54
- Potential payout
- $385.71
- Potential profit
- $331.71
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- $4
Polymarket Trader
0x49cE44D8D3BFb841a6D308Ad3b586aC9bA85E5d5-1782393716701
0x49ce44d8d3bfb841a6d308ad3b586ac9ba85e5d5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $82.82
- Realized PnL
- $14.32
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 25, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.45
- Potential profit
- $43.45
- User PnL
- -$10
N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.14
- Potential profit
- $34.14
- User PnL
- -$25.78
N
No position
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $9.85
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $18.72
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $9.33
- Potential payout
- $11.25
- Potential profit
- $1.92
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
No position
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.3%
- Current value
- $9.63
- Potential payout
- $11.16
- Potential profit
- $1.53
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.13
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 35% 28.57 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?No 13% 385.71 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 99.4% 62.5 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 80% 62.5 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 75.5% 34.14 shares
- Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No 89.6% 11.16 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 88.9% 11.25 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 25, 2026?No 23% 43.45 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 82% 12.2 shares