Polymarket Trader

liyanwen78347

0x49cfcf355cf24b6bdaa911487462586740cd4d1f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.47
Realized PnL: $11.43
Win rate: 95.2%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$1.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.91
Potential payout: $1.91
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.86
Potential payout: $1.86
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $1.7
Potential payout: $1.73
Potential profit: $0.02
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.5

Yes position

Liverpool wins the Premier League?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will Solana dip to $180 in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?

Ends Jan 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Solana dip to $30 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the price of Solana be above $270 on September 19?

Ends Sep 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on June 4?

No 99.7% 1.91 shares
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 91.4% 1.86 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.5% 1.73 shares
Will Solana dip to $30 in March?

No 99.8% 2.56 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Yes 93% 2.58 shares
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Yes 99% 2.73 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?

No 99.7% 1.93 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

No 96% 1.44 shares
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Yes 95% 3.31 shares
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Yes 80% 1.49 shares
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?

Yes 94.4% 1.19 shares
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 91% 1.29 shares