Yes position
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.27K
- Potential profit
- $32.27K
- User PnL
- -$3.09K
Polymarket Trader
AGcopytr
0x49d24e31b9afc1d39287835dcaeeed59a1da59f7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $548.05
- Realized PnL
- $36.98K
- Win rate
- 70.6%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $75
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $29.93K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.92K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.15K
- Potential profit
- $29.15K
- User PnL
- -$7.72K
Yes position
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $473.05
- Potential payout
- $28.67K
- Potential profit
- $28.2K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $44.78
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.81K
- Potential profit
- $18.81K
- User PnL
- -$5.07K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $15K
- User PnL
- -$1.35K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.86K
- Potential profit
- $11.86K
- User PnL
- -$366.52
No position
Will Italy win on 2025-10-14?
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $8K
- User PnL
- -$1.44K
Yankees position
Red Sox vs. Yankees
Ends Oct 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$3.36K
No position
Will England win on 2025-10-14?
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$350
Yes position
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$1.05K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$900
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.85K
- Potential profit
- $4.85K
- User PnL
- -$1.69K
No position
Will DR Congo win on 2025-10-14?
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.03K
- Potential profit
- $3.03K
- User PnL
- -$784.29
Yes position
Will Guinea win on 2025-10-14?
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$1.33K
No position
Will Algeria win on 2025-10-14?
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$1.42K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$495
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- User PnL
- -$266.33
Yes position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$220
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$520
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $580.19
- Potential profit
- $580.19
- User PnL
- -$9.86
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.66K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.85K
Yankees position
Red Sox vs. Yankees
Ends Oct 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95K
Dodgers position
Reds vs. Dodgers
Ends Oct 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
Falcons position
Spread: Bills (-4.5)
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
No position
Will Guinea win on 2025-10-14?
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $450.71
Yes position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $267.7
Guardians position
Tigers vs. Guardians
Ends Oct 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140
Yes position
Will Guinea vs. Botswana end in a draw?
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$437.49
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$573.67
No position
Will Senegal win on 2025-10-14?
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$665.06
Steelers position
Steelers vs. Bengals
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.42K
Yes position
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.69K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.1% 17,229.54 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 99% 35,351.91 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 34% 1,717.05 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 35.9% 2,802.23 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 35.8% 6,675.91 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 13.3% 156.61 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 34% 3,751.84 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 12.3% 7,500 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes 9% 15,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 10% 10,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 10% 20,000 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes 3.1% 11,835.26 shares