Polymarket Trader

0xBD8AfB40770a3442251234d42102abbD969F2821-1774836452156

0x49d4da3cc6fba333ff76ee70e0b3b807af8e5696

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $29.54
Realized PnL: $14.81
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $8.33
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.66

Yes position

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $327.89
Potential profit: $327.89
User PnL: -$8.4

Ghana position

Spread: Ghana (-1.5)

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $271.93
Potential profit: $271.93
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.44
Potential profit: $114.44
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $101.62
Potential profit: $95.63
Multiplier: 16.95x
User PnL: $1

Germany position

Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.48
Potential profit: $45.48
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $36.06
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $35.97
Potential profit: $35.76
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$4.78

Yes position

Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.3%
Current value: $10.62
Potential payout: $12.76
Potential profit: $2.14
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.62

No position

Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $3.39
Potential payout: $8.93
Potential profit: $5.54
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$1.61

Over position

Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.81
Potential profit: $7.81
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.12

Over position

Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.17

Over position

Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $2.9

Yes position

Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.07

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

No position

Starmer out by August 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.91

No position

Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Bukayo Saka: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.62

Over position

Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 3,333.33 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Germany 9% 22.22 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Germany 60% 8.33 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

Yes 79% 5.2 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Germany 67% 14.93 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

Yes 70% 5 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

Yes 49% 10.2 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

Yes 34.8% 12.82 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

Yes 99.9% 26.14 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

Yes 77% 12.99 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

Yes 39% 12.82 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

Yes 76% 13.16 shares