Polymarket Trader

0x49DabAC1fc54572b17691a32Aa3273d7C72F0f6A-1763977500322

0x49dabac1fc54572b17691a32aa3273d7c72f0f6a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $222.45
Realized PnL: $4.95K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.89K
Potential profit: $5.89K
User PnL: -$29.44

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.47K
Potential profit: $3.47K
User PnL: -$494.99

Ilia Topuria position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.84K
Potential profit: $1.84K
User PnL: -$1.49K

Yes position

Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $1.48K
User PnL: -$399.59

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.26K
User PnL: -$29

Alex Pereira position

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.24K
User PnL: -$634

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $1.23K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $62.03
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 18.87x
User PnL: -$42.97

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $917.86
Potential profit: $917.86
User PnL: -$96.5

Yes position

Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $701.74
Potential profit: $701.74
User PnL: -$6

9z position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $673.75
Potential profit: $673.75
User PnL: -$148.65

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $8.47
Potential payout: $627.54
Potential profit: $619.06
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$16.53

FaZe position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $583.33
Potential profit: $583.33
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $573.96
Potential profit: $573.96
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $151.96
Potential payout: $498.21
Potential profit: $346.26
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$8.04

Yes position

Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $490.61
Potential profit: $490.61
User PnL: -$10

Derrick Lewis position

UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $476.19
Potential profit: $476.19
User PnL: -$100

Rico position

Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $451.71
Potential profit: $451.71
User PnL: -$31.62

No position

Will Donald Trump say "Cilia" or "Flores" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $419.2
Potential profit: $419.2
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 4?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $393.55
Potential profit: $393.55
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52K

Yes position

Will Vitality win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $892.12

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $431.22

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $282.23

Charles Oliveira position

UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252.05

Yan position

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.33

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.57

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.75

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3)

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.27

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 1?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.63

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.65

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.4

Yes position

Will Vitality win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.25

Sean Strickland position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.36

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

Yes position

Will Vitality win IEM Rio 2026?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.04

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 15?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.28

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.28

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 23?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.71

No position

Will Trump say "Golden Age" while addressing the nation on December 17?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.37

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 7?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.66

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.26

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 11?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.43

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 30% 100 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 5.3% 188.68 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 7.4% 135.64 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 9.3% 107.57 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 35% 85.71 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 9.1% 109.89 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 10.8% 557.13 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.6% 188.68 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Yes 19% 313.9 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Yes 25% 384.61 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?

Yes 27.1% 92.26 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Yes 36% 139.03 shares