No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $34.88K
- Potential payout
- $35.81K
- Potential profit
- $931.04
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.78K
Polymarket Trader
MoonLambo1205
0x49e94011df9060dcc367995892faeb193e348f85
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $37.5K
- Realized PnL
- $45.56K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14K
- Potential profit
- $14K
- User PnL
- -$10.08K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.73K
- Potential profit
- $12.73K
- User PnL
- -$8.47K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.28K
- Potential profit
- $9.28K
- User PnL
- -$6.12K
No position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.21K
- Potential profit
- $9.21K
- User PnL
- -$5.16K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.61K
- Potential profit
- $6.61K
- User PnL
- -$4.9K
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.51K
- Potential profit
- $6.51K
- User PnL
- -$2.16K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$5.04K
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$2.1K
No position
Iran strike on US military by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.74K
- Potential profit
- $4.74K
- User PnL
- -$3.86K
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.4K
- Potential profit
- $4.4K
- User PnL
- -$308
N
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $342.05
- Potential payout
- $3.8K
- Potential profit
- $3.46K
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$2.35K
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.2K
- Potential profit
- $3.2K
- User PnL
- -$608
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $498.65
- Potential payout
- $2.7K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- -$1.35
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$980
No position
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$548.91
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$92.27
No position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.85K
- Potential profit
- $1.85K
- User PnL
- -$1.19K
No position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$340
No position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$670
No position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $721.58
- Potential payout
- $784.75
- Potential profit
- $63.17
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $21.58
No position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $560.51
- Potential payout
- $600.44
- Potential profit
- $39.93
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $10.51
No position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.3%
- Current value
- $499.71
- Potential payout
- $579.37
- Potential profit
- $79.66
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.6K
Yes position
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.23K
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26K
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.99K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7K
No position
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56K
Yes position
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
No position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $919.15
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $889.45
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $852.01
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $822
Yes position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $821.58
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $807.69
No position
US strike on Colombia by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $806.39
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $800
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.5% 2,702.7 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 86.3% 579.37 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 99.9% 17,782.37 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 83.9% 535.71 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7.9% 1,136.36 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.8% 1,136.36 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 84% 535.71 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 91.6% 600.44 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 89.2% 784.75 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 93% 2,669.1 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?No 94% 5,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 60% 2,727.8 shares