Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $3.99K
- Potential payout
- $98.63K
- Potential profit
- $94.64K
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$4.77K
Polymarket Trader
Makesmesicktomystomach
0x49ebd7ba46eca5e7a7336027d7b46792bf39cf37
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $38.63K
- Realized PnL
- $42.05K
- Win rate
- 64.7%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $29.68K
- Potential payout
- $52.55K
- Potential profit
- $22.86K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$4.59K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $4.94K
- Potential payout
- $22.97K
- Potential profit
- $18.03K
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$38.61
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $8.6
- Potential payout
- $17.2K
- Potential profit
- $17.19K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$296.6
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $7
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$26.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.67K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.84K
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.05K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $1.68K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.3%
- Multiplier
- 10.75x
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $687.63
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- $666.68
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.43x
- User PnL
- $485.94
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $260.39
Yes position
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.91
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$111.25
Khamzat Chimaev position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$117.39
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$126.59
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$139.26
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$284.68
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.64K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 1.6% 31 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 1.7% 1,200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 3.1% 6,300 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 3.1% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 3.1% 400 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 98.9% 45 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 21% 10 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 65% 5,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 65.8% 40,947.39 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 22% 15,369.65 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 32% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 60% 20.64 shares