Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $481.29
- Potential payout
- $2.61K
- Potential profit
- $2.13K
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- -$823.02
Polymarket Trader
devoteeOfBeshaba
0x49f8d445d9f45d217ff66a672253a9a2bb968c04
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.61K
- Realized PnL
- $14.44K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 81.6%
- Current value
- $2.13K
- Potential payout
- $2.61K
- Potential profit
- $481.29
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $823.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Trove FDV above $5M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05K
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2K
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58K
No position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $804.09
No position
Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 56%
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $679.15
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $613.53
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $596.51
Yes position
Will Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $568.05
No position
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $411
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $367.73
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $358.99
Yes position
Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $274.42
Yes position
Will RV There Yet? win Sit Back and Relax in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $264.69
No position
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 38%
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- $218.35
No position
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.25
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.36
Yes position
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.33
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.93
No position
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $159.85
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.22
Yes position
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.17
No position
Trove FDV above $10M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026?No 99.9% 9.01 shares
- Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in June 2026?No 99.9% 171.17 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in June 2026?No 99.8% 180.36 shares
- Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?No 99.9% 4,285.29 shares
- Will June 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?Yes 99.5% 8.9 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026?No 99.7% 1,209.63 shares
- Will June 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?No 99.7% 290.87 shares
- Will June 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?Yes 99.7% 1,762 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in June 2026?Yes 99% 0.53 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in June 2026?Yes 98.8% 122.46 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?Yes 99.9% 4.83 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?No 99.9% 0.44 shares