Polymarket Trader

casino

0x4a0777b5ffc0c67dad36367201962979ac2e50e7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $410
Realized PnL: $1.96K
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $410
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.59K
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$560

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $774.72
Potential profit: $774.72
User PnL: -$162.69

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $152.94
Potential profit: $152.94
User PnL: -$78

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $923.31

No position

Lighter Airdrop on December 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $499.38

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.47

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $101.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.3

No position

Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.56

No position

Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.35

No position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.29

No position

Pavel Durov released in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.51

No position

Will Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 9.7% 10,000 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

Yes 32% 0.48 shares
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?

Yes 57% 349.97 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Yes 51% 152.94 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?

Yes 21% 774.72 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

Yes 18% 870.48 shares
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?

No 99.5% 500 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

No 0.2% 3,401 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

No 2.4% 2,399.99 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Up 1% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Down 99.1% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Up 23% 30.53 shares