Polymarket Trader

Adsen

@850814084

0x4a141aada02119aa0231e50fa8804ea65456045c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5K
Realized PnL: $15.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $3.89K
Potential payout: $4.95K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$438.07

Ninjas in Pyjamas position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.3K
Potential profit: $3.3K
User PnL: -$474.97

Yes position

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.06K
Potential profit: $3.06K
User PnL: -$155.28

Weibo Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$474.92

Yes position

Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $245.05
Potential payout: $2.45K
Potential profit: $2.21K
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$173.51

Yes position

Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $87.5
Potential payout: $1.97K
Potential profit: $1.88K
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$2.59

Yes position

Will LNG Esports win the LPL 2026 season?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.61
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $1.73K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$43.37

Yes position

Will JD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.6%
Current value: $135.86
Potential payout: $1.57K
Potential profit: $1.44K
Multiplier: 11.57x
User PnL: -$112.63

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Norway?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$27

BNK FEARX position

LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.34K
User PnL: -$80.11

Yes position

Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $443.94
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $861.77
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$159.14

No position

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.98
Potential profit: $999.98
User PnL: -$99

KT Rolster position

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $970.15
Potential profit: $970.15
User PnL: -$4.85

Yes position

Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $28.83
Potential payout: $647.83
Potential profit: $619
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$7.29

Yes position

Will EDward Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $636.27
Potential profit: $635.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.9

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600.03
Potential profit: $600.03
User PnL: -$97.5

Invictus Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$187

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $558.25
Potential profit: $558.25
User PnL: -$368.44

No position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $544.97
Potential profit: $544.97
User PnL: -$148.14

Under position

Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $526.98
Potential profit: $526.98
User PnL: -$268.04

Yes position

Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $169.27
Potential payout: $505.28
Potential profit: $336.01
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $44.92

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$52.5

KT Rolster position

LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$284

Nongshim Red Force position

LoL: Gen.G vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $399.99
User PnL: -$48

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Weibo Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3K

JD Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.41K

Top Esports position

LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

Yes position

Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

KT Rolster position

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $871.92

No position

Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $500

No position

Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $468.22

T1 position

LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $460

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3)

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $432.46

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $408.48

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 19.5%
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $390.18

Invictus Gaming position

Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $381.83

No position

Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $312.36

No position

Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $293.25

Under position

Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $268

Over position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $234.05

No position

Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215.48

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.6%
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: $193.5

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $189.21

Top Esports position

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.27

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.72

Under position

Games Total: O/U 4.5

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 88.4% 3,115 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 78.9% 5,000 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 16.3% 953.44 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 52.5% 220.95 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 59.3% 168 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 61.5% 100 shares
Games Total: O/U 4.5

Over 38% 12.5 shares
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.5% 115.4 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.8% 254.3 shares
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 35% 201.44 shares
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7% 819.55 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.6% 5,000 shares