Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.67K
- Potential profit
- $46.67K
- User PnL
- -$249.99
Polymarket Trader
harvestr
0x4a1587952b4011b463827c816c33e420795d97cb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $346.19
- Realized PnL
- $219.93
- Win rate
- 18.2%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $25K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $136.12
- Potential payout
- $24.75K
- Potential profit
- $24.61K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$63.83
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.62K
- Potential profit
- $22.62K
- User PnL
- -$149.96
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.39K
- Potential profit
- $20.39K
- User PnL
- -$249.97
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $83.58
- Potential payout
- $7.96K
- Potential profit
- $7.88K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$66.41
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $25
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.31K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.85K
- Potential profit
- $1.85K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $24.02
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $14.02
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $9.12
- Potential payout
- $792.61
- Potential profit
- $783.5
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$20.88
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $68.35
- Potential payout
- $719.46
- Potential profit
- $651.11
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$61.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.89
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.09
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- -$7.14
Yes position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.42
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Multiplier
- 15.63x
- User PnL
- -$9.12
Yes position
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.51
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$12.5
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Multiplier
- 20.41x
- User PnL
- -$22.22
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$25.74
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 2% 3,644.7 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 8% 2,222.22 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 0.8% 1,231.69 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.3% 3,333.33 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.2% 25,000 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.6% 8,333.33 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 15% 1,336.11 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 8% 510.95 shares
- Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?Yes 1.6% 2,477.11 shares
- Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?Yes 6% 714.28 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 15% 2,055.55 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 1% 4,908.33 shares