Polymarket Trader

0x4A1E60c5EDc10A6187Bc4e34281cCd8972398Dac-1783268071739

0x4a1e60c5edc10a6187bc4e34281ccd8972398dac

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $120.74
Realized PnL: $2.43
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 2
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $3.38
Potential payout: $135.14
Potential profit: $131.76
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$1.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 51.8%
Current value: $64.69
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $60.31
Multiplier: 1.93x
User PnL: $60.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $124.94
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $124.98
Potential profit: $124.92
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.64
Potential profit: $113.64
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 19.9%
Current value: $16.54
Potential payout: $83.31
Potential profit: $66.78
Multiplier: 5.04x
User PnL: $11.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $62.49
Potential profit: $62.46
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.52
Potential profit: $59.52
User PnL: -$4.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $50.56
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $20.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $29.75
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $15.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $4.9
Potential payout: $40.97
Potential profit: $36.08
Multiplier: 8.37x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $2.32
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $33.39
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$2.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $30.67
Potential profit: $30.64
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$4.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $3.49
Potential payout: $29.06
Potential profit: $25.57
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: $0.58

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.31

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.89

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 8?

Yes 9% 46.16 shares
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 6?

Yes 3.9% 36 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 7?

Yes 16.3% 30.67 shares
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 6?

Yes 3.9% 25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?

Yes 3.6% 125 shares
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on July 6?

Yes 6.9% 36.45 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 6?

No 82% 23.92 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 5?

No 5.7% 33.33 shares