Polymarket Trader

0x4a30B40f5275C096a95184Fee770EdED075047B0-1758127686898

0x4a30b40f5275c096a95184fee770eded075047b0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.27
Realized PnL: $14.13
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will MSC Industrial Direct (MSM) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $2.44
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.27
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will Chewy (CHWY) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22
Potential profit: $1.22
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.56

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Will BuzzFeed (BZFD) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will Vail Resorts (MTN) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Will Sprinklr (CXM) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will General Mills (GIS) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Factset Research Systems (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will Dave and Buster's Entertainment (PLAY) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Five Below (FIVE) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will Paychex (PAYX) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will Lululemon Athletica (LULU) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will GitLab (GTLB) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Factset Research Systems (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 76% 1.32 shares
Will Lamb Weston Holdings (LW) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 96% 1.04 shares
Will Dave and Buster's Entertainment (PLAY) beat quarterly earnings?

No 80% 1.25 shares
Will Cintas (CTAS) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 95% 2.11 shares
Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 66% 2.17 shares
Will Chewy (CHWY) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 82% 1.22 shares
Will Paychex (PAYX) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 81% 1.23 shares
Will MSC Industrial Direct (MSM) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 82% 2.44 shares
Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 92% 2.17 shares
Will Micron Technology (MU) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 98.2% 5.04 shares
Will Macy's (M) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 95.9% 2.09 shares
Will General Mills (GIS) beat quarterly earnings?

No 86% 2.33 shares