Yes position
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- User PnL
- -$5.8
Polymarket Trader
xiaochenhui
0x4a3827f3c44264c2043200eacc50a11e26be9ef8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $44.51
- Realized PnL
- $109.18
- Win rate
- 95.2%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $482.02
- Potential profit
- $482.02
- User PnL
- -$70.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.95
- Potential profit
- $199.95
- User PnL
- -$80.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.73
- Potential profit
- $135.73
- User PnL
- -$104.51
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $44.51
- Potential payout
- $52.06
- Potential profit
- $7.55
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.78
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Jaguars position
Spread: Jaguars (-1.5)
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on February 6?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Solana reach $580 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$5.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 84% 52.06 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?No 99.9% 44 shares
- Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 14?No 99.9% 34.93 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETUp 77% 5.05 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETUp 16.9% 264.09 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No 99.7% 75.76 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes 99.7% 200 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 3?No 99.9% 201.1 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No 99.9% 63 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETDown 98.9% 211.62 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on February 6?No 99.9% 261.98 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4AM ETUp 99.9% 261.98 shares