Yes position
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $299.02
- Potential payout
- $2.85K
- Potential profit
- $2.55K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $99.67
Polymarket Trader
niggleball
0x4a40b53e08ee0674aa560e8ac91065555c3b851a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.12K
- Realized PnL
- $486.03
- Win rate
- 46.2%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $580.56
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $754.06
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $73.4
Yes position
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $61.9
- Potential payout
- $317.42
- Potential profit
- $255.52
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $14.28
No position
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $128.5
- Potential payout
- $259.6
- Potential profit
- $131.1
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Y
Yes position
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $14.9
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $185.09
- Multiplier
- 13.42x
- User PnL
- -$41.1
Yes position
Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $32.69
- Potential payout
- $110.8
- Potential profit
- $78.11
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $16.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.7
- Potential profit
- $46.7
- User PnL
- -$25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.83
- Potential profit
- $38.83
- User PnL
- -$25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.7
- Potential profit
- $18.7
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $238
Yes position
o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.3
No position
Citrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.59
Y
Yes position
Tea FDV above $40M one day after launch
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Citrea FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.27
Yes position
Citrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.61
No position
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$37.25
Y
Yes position
Tea FDV above $200M one day after launch
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes 67.6% 500 shares
- Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No 50% 259.6 shares
- o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 97.1% 300 shares
- Tea FDV above $200M one day after launchYes 6% 1,000 shares
- Citrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?No 99.8% 306.87 shares
- Citrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?No 60.8% 256.88 shares
- Citrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 40.6% 93.95 shares
- Citrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?No 54% 50 shares
- Citrea FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes 0.4% 400 shares
- Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?No 6.4% 199.99 shares
- Citrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?No 22% 900 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETUp 64.4% 38.83 shares