Polymarket Trader

SeanBarton8631

0x4a40e84ab44bd71a2bd7d9f4f6592c90a141904b

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $2.09K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Under position

Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $825
Potential payout: $825
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $288.75

Yes position

Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $599.77
Potential payout: $736
Potential profit: $136.23
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $58.07

Yes position

Will "Crazy" be said 15+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $619
Potential payout: $619
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $507.58

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $590
Potential profit: $590
User PnL: -$395.3

No position

Will Keir Starmer say "Ally" or "Allied" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333
Potential profit: $333
User PnL: -$103.23

Yes position

Will Melania say "Knowledge is power" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $273
Potential profit: $273
User PnL: -$60.06

Under position

Dundee United FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 1.5

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $235
Potential profit: $235
User PnL: -$209.15

Yes position

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113
Potential profit: $113
User PnL: -$1.36

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Syria in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111
Potential profit: $111
User PnL: -$1.44

Yes position

Over 55,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101
Potential profit: $101
User PnL: -$2.63

Yes position

Will 20 to 39 tornadoes occur in the United States in November?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96
Potential profit: $96
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95
Potential profit: $95
User PnL: -$2.28

Yes position

Will Salsa Tekila win the Orderly trading competition?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89
Potential profit: $89
User PnL: -$4.36

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71
Potential profit: $71
User PnL: -$1.21

No position

Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66
Potential profit: $66
User PnL: -$5.48

Yes position

US national Ethereum reserve in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61
Potential profit: $61
User PnL: -$0.79

Yes position

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58
Potential profit: $58
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56
Potential profit: $56
User PnL: -$5.77

Yes position

Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49
Potential profit: $49
User PnL: -$1.13

No position

Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48
Potential profit: $48
User PnL: -$16.8

No position

Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in December 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48
Potential profit: $48
User PnL: -$42.6

Yes position

Will Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $43
Potential payout: $43
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $11.18

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 5?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$16

No position

Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37
Potential profit: $37
User PnL: -$1.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference?

Yes 73% 34 shares
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?

Yes 28% 63 shares
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

No 58.4% 24 shares
US bank failure by December 31?

No 41% 63 shares
US bank failure by December 31?

No 42% 63 shares
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by <9%?

Yes 36% 8 shares
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

No 65% 293 shares
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

No 77% 293 shares
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

Yes 18% 60 shares
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026

No 70% 584 shares
Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in March?

No 86% 155 shares
Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in March?

No 76% 155 shares