No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $3.05K
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $283.3
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $283.32
Polymarket Trader
CometTail
0x4a40edf019396ec8cb287fa7cc947929493d1a9b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.05K
- Realized PnL
- $1.31K
- Win rate
- 78.6%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $933.38
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.73
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.17
Yes position
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.11
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.96
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.55
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.76
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.25
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.38
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.39
No position
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.83
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$181.8
Yes position
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$272.19
No position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$336.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.4% 7,793 shares
- Trump out as President by April 30?No 98.2% 1,493 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 96.3% 7,007 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 3,333 shares
- Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No 97% 10,016 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 99.9% 4,262 shares
- Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?No 99.6% 2,276 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 81% 3,636 shares
- New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?No 98.9% 3,625 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 86% 3,636 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 78% 4,262 shares
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No 99.9% 4,693 shares