Polymarket Trader

belichtung

0x4a43eb9aa05c6296ba8dcbd9686fbae90151178b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.6
Realized PnL: $1.93K
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 67m and 73m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.31K
Potential profit: $2.31K
User PnL: -$4.2

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.95K
Potential profit: $1.95K
User PnL: -$9.2

Yes position

Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9.5m?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800.12
Potential profit: $800.12
User PnL: -$202.36

Yes position

Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $601.5
Potential profit: $601.5
User PnL: -$52.82

Yes position

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $553.41
Potential profit: $553.41
User PnL: -$89.34

Yes position

Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $332.56
Potential profit: $332.56
User PnL: -$33.78

Yes position

Will France win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $330
Potential profit: $330
User PnL: -$2.97

Yes position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $245.44
Potential profit: $245.44
User PnL: -$46.96

No position

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $170
User PnL: -$26.66

Yes position

Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 12.1%
Current value: $10.6
Potential payout: $87.57
Potential profit: $76.97
Multiplier: 8.26x
User PnL: -$6.59

Yes position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$1.57

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $328.16

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265.37

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $248.18

Yes position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.83

Yes position

Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.92

Yes position

Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.04

Yes position

Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.55

Yes position

Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.65

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.21

Yes position

Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.14

Yes position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.62

Yes position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.59

Yes position

Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9.5m and 11m?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.11

Yes position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.94

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.3

Yes position

Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52

Yes position

Will "The Death of Robin Hood" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.42

Yes position

Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.31

Yes position

Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 75m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.59

Yes position

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.01

Yes position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.41

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?

Yes 21% 2.57 shares
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?

Yes 20% 50 shares
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?

Yes 19% 35 shares
Will "The Death of Robin Hood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?

Yes 0.6% 85.01 shares
Will "The Death of Robin Hood" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?

Yes 97.4% 5 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

Yes 6% 70 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

Yes 78% 20 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?

Yes 0.2% 151.25 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?

Yes 24% 1.25 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?

Yes 23% 10 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?

Yes 23% 20 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?

Yes 25% 20 shares