amlort

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $371.2
Potential profit: $371.2
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350.97
Potential profit: $350.97
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $170
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.4
Potential profit: $136.4
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.69
Potential profit: $127.69
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106
Potential profit: $106
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.47
Potential profit: $60.47
User PnL: -$13.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 21.7%
Current value: $7.22
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $26.12
Multiplier: 4.62x
User PnL: $2.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$1

Royal Challengers Bangalore position

Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.55
Potential profit: $22.55
User PnL: -$13.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.32
Potential profit: $22.32
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 61.6%
Current value: $9.35
Potential payout: $15.2
Potential profit: $5.84
Multiplier: 1.62x
User PnL: $4.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $10.87
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.22
Potential profit: $4.22
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $3.45
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.64
Potential profit: $1.64
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Gujarat Titans position

Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.94

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET