Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
ccykwh
0x4a518416299cfa7ef7b72c859e31518405b0635c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $90.91
- Realized PnL
- $14.08
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $90.91
- Potential payout
- $134.68
- Potential profit
- $43.77
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $5.91
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.78
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 65% 7.69 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 63% 126.98 shares
- Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes 95.8% 87.45 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 75% 3.94 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 76% 3.95 shares
- Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes 78% 25.64 shares
- Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes 78% 6.41 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 85.4% 24 shares
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?Yes 2.5% 33.38 shares
- Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes 78% 25.64 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 83.3% 24.01 shares
- Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes 84% 29.76 shares