Polymarket Trader

ayuerg

0x4a56622f5183f05b5564bb6daa04cb1302700044

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $27.52
Realized PnL: $35.79
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Number 7A by Pollock sell for $125M or more?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $340
Potential profit: $340
User PnL: -$3.52

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $27.5
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $172.49
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Will another outcome occur in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.58

No position

Will Tête de femme by Picasso sell for $47M or more?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$14.4

No position

Will Danaïde by Brancusi sell for $95M or more?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2.4

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3700 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.16
Potential profit: $8.16
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will Solana reach $200 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.11

No position

Will Solana reach $580 before 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.26

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100k in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $2.14

No position

Will the announcers say "Champion" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $2.1

No position

Will Solana reach $250 in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

No position

Will Solana reach $290 in August?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91

No position

Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

No position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 42.7%
Multiplier: 2.34x
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by September 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 80,000 and 90,000 voters?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Safepoint not IPO before August 2026?

No 7% 50 shares
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?

Yes 63% 50 shares
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

No 93% 50 shares
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 91% 10.53 shares
Will Richard Gordon Thomson win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?

No 19% 50 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 28.7% 50 shares
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?

No 17% 49.99 shares
Will Richard Gordon Thomson win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?

No 20% 18.21 shares
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?

No 63% 50 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No 66% 50 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 85.1% 50 shares
Will the announcers say "Champion" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Cup Match?

No 35.5% 20 shares