Polymarket Trader

Zarshka1

0x4a5dc168523262ed051c9d5689ab69e651d29ea3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.1K
Realized PnL: $4.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $97.13
Potential payout: $777
Potential profit: $679.88
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$3.89

No position

USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $702.04
Potential profit: $702.04
User PnL: -$512.49

No position

Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $381.4
Potential payout: $641
Potential profit: $259.61
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $16.03

No position

Superform FDV above $20M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $621.51
Potential profit: $621.51
User PnL: -$47.57

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $560
Potential profit: $560
User PnL: -$97.8

No position

Will Trump say "Mental institution" this week? (January 18)

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $538.54
Potential profit: $538.54
User PnL: -$222.85

Yes position

Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $525
Potential profit: $525
User PnL: -$97

Yes position

Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $142.45
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $357.55
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$2.55

No position

USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$164.5

No position

Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$100

No position

Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$300

No position

Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $420
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $80
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $121.04

No position

Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$193.94

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $225
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $275
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: $19.31

No position

Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 84.8%
Current value: $423.74
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $76.25
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $181.25

Yes position

Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$87.5

No position

Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$414.99

No position

Bitway FDV above $10M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.98
Potential profit: $499.98
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $449.99
Potential profit: $449.99
User PnL: -$124

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $117.66
Potential payout: $444
Potential profit: $326.34
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$2.22

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $117.66
Potential payout: $444
Potential profit: $326.34
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$2.22

Yes position

Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $420
Potential profit: $420
User PnL: -$102.8

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $178.59
Potential payout: $375.97
Potential profit: $197.38
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$63.46

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$117.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $796

No position

Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $451.34

Yes position

BLS delays another CPI release before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $379.73

Demoor position

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $293.75

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $246.73

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $239.5

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.75

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205

No position

Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148

No position

Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.99

No position

EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.5

Yes position

Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.2

No position

Octra FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.4

No position

Superform FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102

No position

Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95

Yes position

Will Playboy (PLBY) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.03

No position

Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.39

No position

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 68.5%
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $74.55

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani say "Cuomo" 2+ times during his victory/concession speech?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72

No position

Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani say "Subway" during his victory/concession speech?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.99

Yes position

Will Harley-Davidson (HOG) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69

Yes position

Will Icahn Enterprises (IEP) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?

Yes 30% 333 shares
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?

Yes 27% 444 shares
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?

Yes 31% 333 shares
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?

Yes 27% 444 shares
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?

Yes 13% 777 shares
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Yes 29% 500 shares
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Yes 25% 200 shares
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 12% 500 shares
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Yes 34% 170 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Yes 29% 160 shares
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Yes 28% 249.99 shares
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?

Yes 18% 260 shares