Polymarket Trader

oboltusovao

0x4a6747bf6358ab7a67e6d4c103ec695869ec65c8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $254.03
Realized PnL: $39.54
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $299
Potential profit: $297.95
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$10.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $31.4
Potential payout: $299
Potential profit: $267.61
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $19.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $299
Potential profit: $298.85
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$11.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $299
Potential profit: $298.25
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$10.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $16.45
Potential payout: $299
Potential profit: $282.56
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $4.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $299
Potential profit: $298.25
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$10.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $299
Potential profit: $298.85
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$11.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 4.4%
Current value: $13.16
Potential payout: $299
Potential profit: $285.84
Multiplier: 22.73x
User PnL: $1.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $299
Potential profit: $297.95
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$10.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $299
Potential profit: $298.85
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$11.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $52.32
Potential payout: $299
Potential profit: $246.68
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $40.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $299
Potential profit: $298.85
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$11.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $299
Potential profit: $298.85
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$11.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $299
Potential profit: $298.85
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$11.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $3.14
Potential payout: $299
Potential profit: $295.86
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$8.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $9.12
Potential payout: $299
Potential profit: $289.88
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$2.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.94
Potential payout: $299
Potential profit: $297.06
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$9.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $299
Potential profit: $298.85
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$11.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $6.13
Potential payout: $299
Potential profit: $292.87
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$5.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $299
Potential profit: $298.85
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$11.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $17.58
Potential payout: $270.43
Potential profit: $252.85
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $7.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $26.9
Potential payout: $269
Potential profit: $242.1
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: $16.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $39.41
Potential payout: $238.84
Potential profit: $199.43
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $30.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $31.71
Potential payout: $224.25
Potential profit: $192.54
Multiplier: 7.07x
User PnL: $23.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $70.25

No position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: -$10.91

No position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: -$19.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

No 99.8% 299 shares
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?

No 99.9% 200 shares