Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $74.96
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.96
Polymarket Trader
DanielTao
0x4a6c075d721f81fc5fc44a3a9bfeacf581784fc3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.34
- Realized PnL
- $559.87
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $63.57
- Potential profit
- $63.53
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$19.97
Yes position
Will Japanese PM apologize for China comments in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.44
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.98
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $18.52
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $11.49
- Potential profit
- $11.44
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$9.95
Yes position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.94
- Potential profit
- $6.94
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $2.2
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $0.92
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Estar Backs position
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Estar Backs (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $296.01
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.53
Amaru Gaming position
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Estar Backs (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.93
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 19?Yes 15% 33.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 19?Yes 30% 33.33 shares
- Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Estar Backs (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier PlayoffsEstar Backs 20% 32.06 shares
- Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Estar Backs (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier PlayoffsAmaru Gaming 29.5% 84.67 shares
- Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Estar Backs (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier PlayoffsEstar Backs 78% 32.05 shares
- Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Estar Backs (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier PlayoffsEstar Backs 8.6% 291.67 shares
- Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Estar Backs (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier PlayoffsEstar Backs 15% 166.67 shares
- Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Estar Backs (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier PlayoffsEstar Backs 44.8% 111.6 shares
- Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Estar Backs (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier PlayoffsEstar Backs 51% 98.04 shares
- Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Estar Backs (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier PlayoffsEstar Backs 57% 87.72 shares
- Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Estar Backs (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier PlayoffsEstar Backs 67% 168.5 shares
- Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Yes 72% 6.94 shares