Polymarket Trader

uxmond

0x4a74ae9378d92f25a9add91718efba25a3317a5c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $67.58
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $17.93
Potential payout: $51.29
Potential profit: $33.37
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $16.93

Yes position

Will Congress override any veto in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $0.82
Potential payout: $26.84
Potential profit: $26.02
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will the SELF DRIVE Act become law this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $0.59
Potential payout: $14.08
Potential profit: $13.49
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $1.69
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $10.81
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $0.69

Yes position

Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $2.94
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $9.06
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 19, 2026?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $9.97
Potential payout: $11.32
Potential profit: $1.36
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $7.42
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $7.46
Potential profit: $6.83
Multiplier: 11.83x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $2.68
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $4.46
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will Anthropic announce permanent paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $4.21
Potential payout: $6.9
Potential profit: $2.69
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $2.69
Potential payout: $6.56
Potential profit: $3.87
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: -$1.31

No position

Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31.3%
Current value: $2.02
Potential payout: $6.45
Potential profit: $4.44
Multiplier: 3.20x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $1.38
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $3.38
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: -$0.62

No position

Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $2.83
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $1.93
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$0.17

No position

USMCA extended in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $2.87
Potential payout: $4.48
Potential profit: $1.61
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

FDA approves Viatris' low-dose estrogen weekly patch?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $2.32
Potential payout: $3.9
Potential profit: $1.58
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.1%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $3.89
Potential profit: $2.91
Multiplier: 3.98x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

MPS x Intesa Sanpaolo merger/acquisition announced in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $0.61
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $3.09
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.39

No position

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $1.34
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $2.23
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $2.24
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $2.99
Potential payout: $3.04
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

FDA approves Otsuka's Centanafadine?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 44.3%
Current value: $1.32
Potential payout: $2.99
Potential profit: $1.67
Multiplier: 2.26x
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $1.85
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will there be at least 3000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $1.96
Potential payout: $2.7
Potential profit: $0.74
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

No 86% 1.16 shares
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

No 93% 1.08 shares
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?

No 63% 3.17 shares
Will Congress override any veto in 2026?

Yes 3.7% 26.84 shares
Will the Smithsonian Women’s History Museum become law this year?

No 92% 1.09 shares
Will the SELF DRIVE Act become law this year?

Yes 7.1% 14.08 shares
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?

No 63% 1.59 shares
T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026?

No 94% 1.06 shares
Will Lucid announce bankruptcy before 2027?

No 84.8% 1.18 shares
MPS x Intesa Sanpaolo merger/acquisition announced in 2026?

Yes 27% 3.7 shares
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

No 87% 1.15 shares
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

No 31% 6.45 shares