No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $616.15
- Potential payout
- $642.16
- Potential profit
- $26.01
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$8.61
Polymarket Trader
luceas
0x4a8edde3aef3494cb5a2b3bef8a12655f580a8ef
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $616.15
- Realized PnL
- $555.32
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Avalanche position
Kraken vs. Avalanche
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.1
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.25
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.46
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.02
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.25
No position
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.48
No position
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.62
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.25
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.5
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.77
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.72
No position
Ethereum all time high by October 31?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.46
No position
Will CZ return to Binance by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.23
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.09
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.85
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.94
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8
Yes position
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.75
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.7
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.18
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.21
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on October 27?
Ends Oct 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.12
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 97.3% 642.16 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 97.6% 662.61 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 98.7% 651.75 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.6% 126.9 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.1% 126.8 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 98.3% 507.63 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.2% 137 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 25-31?No 99.7% 120.12 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.5% 1,600 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?No 99.6% 1,633.48 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No 99.4% 1,627.12 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 99.1% 1,484.42 shares