No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $4.63
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Polymarket Trader
weather-king-73
0x4a979fc82c9fe96629310440f7376bc4361abadd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.63
- Realized PnL
- $10.71
- Win rate
- 94.4%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$4.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 10?Yes 99% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 10?Yes 74% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 10?Yes 99% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 10?Yes 96% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 10?No 99.8% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 10?No 99% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 10?No 99% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 10?No 73% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 10?No 76.9% 5.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 10?No 76% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 10?Yes 99% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 10?Yes 88% 5 shares