Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $143.61
- Potential profit
- $143.61
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
GratisKatze
0x4a9b8d095871e041953a6bad9f6cc33fbe5993cd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.11
- Realized PnL
- $110.85
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $5.89
- Potential payout
- $104.17
- Potential profit
- $98.28
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the US seize an Iran-linked tanker by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.05
- Potential profit
- $54.05
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.05
- Potential profit
- $48.05
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.85
- Potential profit
- $34.85
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.49
- Potential profit
- $30.49
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.81
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $21.74
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.86
- Potential payout
- $19.61
- Potential profit
- $17.75
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$8.14
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.7
- Potential profit
- $17.7
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Hegseth or Cooper say "Hormuz" 3+ times during press conference?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.34
- Potential profit
- $12.34
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.2
- Potential profit
- $12.2
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.83
- Potential profit
- $11.83
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.77
- Potential profit
- $8.77
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.35
- Potential profit
- $7.35
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Hegseth or Cooper say "Peace" during press conference?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.02
- Potential profit
- $6.02
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $0.36
- Potential payout
- $6.02
- Potential profit
- $5.66
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.64
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.67
No position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.32
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.12
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.12
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.6
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
No position
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93
No position
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.83
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
No position
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
No position
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
No position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Up position
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4.8% 104.17 shares
- Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No 98.6% 5.38 shares
- Will no listed leader be out before 2027?No 99.8% 5.2 shares
- Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No 83% 10.63 shares
- Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No 84% 10.63 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Yes 11.3% 17.7 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Yes 16.9% 11.83 shares
- Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No 92.9% 5.38 shares
- Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No 47% 10.64 shares
- Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No 47% 10.64 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No 99.7% 10.63 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No 47% 10.64 shares