Polymarket Trader

fearthereaper7

@ftrpoly

0x4aa2661df2285ad3e17f4267c3469785d7ef3170

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $623.57
Realized PnL: $117.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$174.86

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $933.57
Potential profit: $933.57
User PnL: -$485.46

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $623.57
Potential payout: $623.57
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $224.49

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $259.6
Potential profit: $259.6
User PnL: -$83.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.27K

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.7K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.23K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.3K

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.45K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.54K

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.19K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.85K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.03K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.77K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.59K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $2.26K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58K

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

Cleveland Guardians position

Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardians

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

Yes position

Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11K

Michigan Wolverines position

Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $960

No position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $895.99

No position

US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $831.83

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Yes 10.2% 3,679.02 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 16.4% 19,258.73 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Yes 22.7% 7,162.35 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Yes 25.7% 8,896.81 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Yes 47% 2,837.65 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 99% 4,999.99 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 87% 7,692.65 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

No 60.6% 26,990.47 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

No 38.2% 7,251.17 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

No 43% 110 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

No 40.1% 10,000 shares
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines

Michigan Wolverines 74% 992.2 shares