PCB31

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $6.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $13.9
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $3.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.85
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 9?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.5
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.1
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.1
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $1.62
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.38
Multiplier: 12.35x
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $2.2
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.8
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 9?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $3.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.1
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $3.4
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.6
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 9?

Implied probability: 34.9%
Current value: $6.98
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $13.02
Multiplier: 2.87x
User PnL: $4.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.5
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 9?

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $1.39
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $18.6
Multiplier: 14.39x
User PnL: -$1.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on July 10?

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $15.44
Potential profit: $14.46
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on July 11?

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $0.57
Potential payout: $15.06
Potential profit: $14.49
Multiplier: 26.32x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C or higher on July 9?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $12.6
Potential profit: $12.52
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $0.67
Potential payout: $11.41
Potential profit: $10.74
Multiplier: 16.95x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $10.95
Potential profit: $9.75
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $2.04
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.96
Multiplier: 4.90x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $2.85
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.15
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 9?

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $3.15
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.85
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.25
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $0.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET