Yes position
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $213.33
- Potential payout
- $6.77K
- Potential profit
- $6.56K
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- $65.96
Polymarket Trader
raphaelfla
0x4aa98fd14c3668f91b0af8b274a07148757dcfc3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $870.3
- Realized PnL
- $1.6K
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $14.73
- Potential payout
- $4.21K
- Potential profit
- $4.19K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$27
Yes position
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $9.13
- Potential payout
- $3.65K
- Potential profit
- $3.64K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$27.4
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $80.85
- Potential payout
- $3.3K
- Potential profit
- $3.22K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $27.75
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $140.8
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.86K
- Multiplier
- 14.20x
- User PnL
- $28.8
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $61
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.94K
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$89
Yes position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $264
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.34K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$58.3
Yes position
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $11.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $988.5
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$11.5
Yes position
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $19.39
- Potential payout
- $704.99
- Potential profit
- $685.6
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$97.96
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $29.75
- Potential payout
- $499.98
- Potential profit
- $470.24
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$4.25
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $316.45
- Potential profit
- $316.29
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$70.74
Yes position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Monte Carlo Masters?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $249.99
- Potential profit
- $249.99
- User PnL
- -$86.49
No position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $235
- Potential profit
- $235
- User PnL
- -$18.8
Yes position
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $25.67
- Potential payout
- $199.76
- Potential profit
- $174.09
- Multiplier
- 7.78x
- User PnL
- $21.21
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $144.48
- Potential profit
- $144.48
- User PnL
- -$11.56
Yes position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $477.8
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.1%
- Multiplier
- 4.54x
- User PnL
- $276.17
Yes position
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $176.2
Joao Fonseca position
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115
Yes position
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $94.71
Yes position
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $54.63
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.43
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.7%
- Multiplier
- 2.89x
- User PnL
- $45.9
Yes position
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.25
Yes position
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $36.59
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- $36.29
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.2
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $26.42
Jakub Mensik position
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Yes position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.99
Yes position
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.41
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.92
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $9.98
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.11
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 0.3% 15,315.01 shares
- Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 2% 1,995 shares
- Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 2.2% 1,600 shares
- Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 1% 2,328.79 shares
- Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 0.9% 2,638.82 shares
- Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 2.3% 1,599.98 shares
- Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 2.4% 81.1 shares
- Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 0.8% 1,118.69 shares
- Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 0.6% 9,228.71 shares
- Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 2.4% 1,000 shares
- Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 2.4% 1,000 shares
- Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 2.5% 1,200 shares