Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $768
- Potential payout
- $4.8K
- Potential profit
- $4.03K
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$68.97
Polymarket Trader
JimRogers
0x4ab42d2622b6120b8173a871aaa3902ba96040fd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.93K
- Realized PnL
- -$2.2K
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $625.59
- Potential payout
- $4.17K
- Potential profit
- $3.55K
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$94.82
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $434.54
- Potential payout
- $769.23
- Potential profit
- $334.69
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $34.54
No position
Blue wave in 2026?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $52.92
- Potential payout
- $216
- Potential profit
- $163.08
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $19.33
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.4%
- Current value
- $16.65
- Potential payout
- $199.39
- Potential profit
- $182.74
- Multiplier
- 11.98x
- User PnL
- $3.52
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $32.1
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $27.9
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $2.1
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.2%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $12.04
- Potential profit
- $11.06
- Multiplier
- 12.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $233.55
No position
Will two people dissent the September Fed decision?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.04
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $150.44
Yes position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.96
No position
Will the federal government not be shut down in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.7
No position
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $61.81
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?
Ends Aug 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.46
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3?
Ends Aug 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.08
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?
Ends Aug 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.57
No position
Will no one dissent September Fed decision?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.32
N
No position
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.78
Yes position
Major U.S. bank bailout in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.73
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$319.93
No position
Will one person dissent the September Fed decision?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$624.27
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$625.61
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$739.96
Yes position
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$842.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 60.4% 734.59 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No 17% 5,014.62 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 60.8% 29.77 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 68.2% 23.41 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes 19% 570.63 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 29% 565.93 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 28.9% 11.51 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No 14% 1,177.54 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 36.4% 210.33 shares
- New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?No 88% 110.56 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 35% 55.01 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes 72.1% 362.15 shares