Polymarket Trader

0x4Ab70DeadFff04BAB988fD72C9490568F8015B3e-1721166660003

0x4ab70deadfff04bab988fd72c9490568f8015b3e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.32K
Realized PnL: $4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $67.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.93K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$42.5

No position

Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $2.26K
Potential payout: $2.28K
Potential profit: $20.56
User PnL: $472.44

No position

Spain snap election called in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $1.09K
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: -$394.16

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $41
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.96K
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$9

No position

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $1.74K
Potential payout: $1.88K
Potential profit: $141
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $65.8

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.55K
User PnL: -$175.15

No position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $1.09K
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $88.5
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $72

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.2%
Current value: $215.73
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $804.27
Multiplier: 4.73x
User PnL: $97.41

No position

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $852.86
Potential payout: $997.5
Potential profit: $144.64
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $39.66

No position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $803.93
Potential payout: $810
Potential profit: $6.08
User PnL: $107.32

Yes position

Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $360
Potential profit: $360
User PnL: -$122.4

No position

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $148.42
Potential payout: $164
Potential profit: $15.58
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $13.47

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Spain snap election called in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $671.55

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $501.4

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $475

No position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $426.9

No position

US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $328.5

Alcaraz position

Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.45

No position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.8

No position

US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.9

No position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.86

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.43

Yes position

Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $130.34

No position

Xi Jinping out before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.6

No position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.45

No position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.86

No position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.5

No position

Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.39

No position

Starmer out by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.54

No position

Starmer out by May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.55

No position

Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $32.08

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.9

No position

Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: $21

No position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

No 3.1% 833.33 shares
Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 3% 1,100 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 90% 444.44 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

No 12% 833.33 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.6% 1,020 shares
Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 3.1% 1,100 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.2% 5,000 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.5% 2,000 shares
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

Yes 34% 60 shares
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

Yes 34% 300 shares
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?

No 92.5% 528.71 shares
Spain snap election called in 2026?

No 66.9% 340 shares