Yes position
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $15.45
- Potential payout
- $1.82K
- Potential profit
- $1.8K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$4.55
Polymarket Trader
kenpaxtonpatriot
0x4abc2b38beec2d06a497715b7599980d712c52ca
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $698.78
- Realized PnL
- $455.77
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $9.44
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
No position
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $212.76
- Potential payout
- $531.89
- Potential profit
- $319.14
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- $144.1
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.4
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $399.59
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$27.6
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.6%
- Current value
- $102.25
- Potential payout
- $265.23
- Potential profit
- $162.98
- Multiplier
- 2.59x
- User PnL
- $67.77
No position
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $2.39
- Potential payout
- $227.27
- Potential profit
- $224.89
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$97.61
Yes position
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1.14
- Potential payout
- $207.14
- Potential profit
- $206
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$27.86
No position
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $62.9
- Potential payout
- $167.74
- Potential profit
- $104.83
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $17.9
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $95.05
- Potential payout
- $133.87
- Potential profit
- $38.82
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- -$4.95
Yes position
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.7%
- Current value
- $42.28
- Potential payout
- $121.71
- Potential profit
- $79.43
- Multiplier
- 2.88x
- User PnL
- $7.28
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $23.4
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $96.6
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$6.6
Yes position
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $32.97
- Potential payout
- $108.11
- Potential profit
- $75.14
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$7.03
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $44.57
- Potential payout
- $72.46
- Potential profit
- $27.9
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$5.43
No position
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $11.68
- Potential payout
- $54.33
- Potential profit
- $42.65
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $1.68
No position
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $42.1
- Potential payout
- $43.05
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $27.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.06
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.09
Yes position
Will La Shawn Ford be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.28
Yes position
Will Steve Toth be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.94
Yes position
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.79
Yes position
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.46
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $22.3
No position
Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.89
No position
Will Ken Paxton drop out?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.46
Yes position
Will Wesley Hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Melissa Conyears Ervin be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Junaid Ahmed be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.17
Yes position
Will Donna Miller be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Robert Peters be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.27
Yes position
Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 13% 265.23 shares
- Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?No 11.8% 495.13 shares
- Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes 14% 207.14 shares
- Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?No 44% 227.27 shares
- Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes 28.8% 121.71 shares
- Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Yes 69% 72.46 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes 74.7% 133.87 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes 69% 72.46 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?No 25% 120 shares
- Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?No 27.2% 36.76 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No 27.4% 91.25 shares
- Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 1.3% 1,428.57 shares