Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $66.44
- Potential payout
- $3.41K
- Potential profit
- $3.34K
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$25.55
Polymarket Trader
Barandaur
0x4ace1f3cc2cf422ff0b1273af9b0a6910f0a98e6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.05K
- Realized PnL
- $1.34K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.41K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $41.21
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$15.18
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $230.24
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $772.97
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $60.24
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $139.53
- Potential payout
- $675.68
- Potential profit
- $536.15
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- $39.53
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $74.16
- Potential payout
- $344.92
- Potential profit
- $270.76
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $4.16
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $12.88
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $237.13
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- $2.88
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.1%
- Current value
- $190.14
- Potential payout
- $243.62
- Potential profit
- $53.47
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $20.14
Yes position
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $121.39
- Potential payout
- $141.97
- Potential profit
- $20.59
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $21.39
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $55.17
- Potential payout
- $106.2
- Potential profit
- $51.03
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $15.17
Yes position
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.4%
- Current value
- $32.83
- Potential payout
- $104.56
- Potential profit
- $71.73
- Multiplier
- 3.18x
- User PnL
- $12.83
Yes position
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $19.63
- Potential payout
- $74.07
- Potential profit
- $54.44
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Y
Yes position
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $29.69
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $32.81
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $37.04
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.7%
- Current value
- $13.1
- Potential payout
- $34.75
- Potential profit
- $21.65
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Yes position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $20.83
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $4.49
- Potential payout
- $16.34
- Potential profit
- $11.85
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $967.61
Yes position
Will Napoli win the Serie A?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.73
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.59
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.81
Yes position
Will Team Vitality win the ESL Katowice Tournament?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.32
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.79
Yes position
Will Italy win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.5
No position
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.35
Yes position
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.63
Yes position
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.18
No position
Ryan Reynolds & Blake Lively divorce in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.46
Yes position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.12
Karmine Corp position
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.1
No position
Will Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.73
No position
Will Amazon buy TikTok?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75
Barcelona position
Copa del Rey Final: Real Madrid vs. Barcelona
Ends Apr 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69
Yes position
Will Barcelona win on 2025-05-06?
Ends May 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.94
No position
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.85
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
No position
New pandemic in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
No position
Will Atalanta win the Serie A?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.83
Yes position
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?
Ends Sep 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2% 296.29 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.3% 475 shares
- Will Lionel Messi record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 39.9% 12.53 shares
- Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 28.9% 34.6 shares
- Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 48% 62.5 shares
- Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 28% 16.99 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.3% 2,691.66 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4.6% 466.66 shares
- Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?Yes 27% 74.07 shares
- Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 14.3% 69.95 shares
- Will Lionel Messi record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 45% 22.22 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 37.7% 106.2 shares