Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $250
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$280
Polymarket Trader
noreasapa
0x4ad6cadefae3c28f5b2caa32a99ebba3a614464c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $250
- Realized PnL
- $356.43K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.71K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.04K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.45K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.11K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.91K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.07K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.26K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.1K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.76K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.06K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.33K
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1K
Yes position
Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.98K
Yes position
Will Tallon Griekspoor win the 2025 Mallorca Championships?
Ends Jun 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.84K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Friend of Mine" during WEF Address on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.92K
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9K
No position
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.56K
Yes position
Will "Nobody 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $11m?
Ends Aug 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36K
Yes position
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07K
Yes position
Will ECB lower interest rates by 25bps in January 2025?
Ends Jan 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77K
Yes position
Will Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during December press conference?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76K
No position
Will Kanye tweet 80-99 times on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68K
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No 99.9% 1,535.54 shares
- Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)FURIA 99.9% 2,294.54 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 99.9% 5,000 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.9% 567.51 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 99.9% 779.86 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 99.9% 25,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 99.9% 20,000 shares
- Will Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?No 98.6% 234.81 shares
- Will Warsh say "Open-Minded" during June Press Conference?Yes 97.9% 175.47 shares
- Will Warsh say "Open-Minded" during June Press Conference?Yes 97.4% 357.46 shares
- Will Warsh say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during June Press Conference?Yes 99% 371.77 shares
- Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No 99.9% 2,861.21 shares