Yes position
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $17.04
- Potential payout
- $74.07
- Potential profit
- $57.04
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- -$2.96
Polymarket Trader
TTT202
0x4ad7f583d88dbc53665cd4387f15f96625c563a8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.04
- Realized PnL
- -$4.27
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 2-8?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Cocciaretto position
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Varvara Gracheva
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes 27% 74.07 shares
- Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes 69% 1.4 shares
- Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes 71% 1.41 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETUp 11% 9.05 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETUp 20% 4.51 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETUp 22% 4.48 shares
- Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 1.6% 5 shares
- Government shutdown on Saturday?No 29% 1 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?No 97.3% 5 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?No 98.7% 5 shares
- Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Varvara GrachevaCocciaretto 54% 20 shares
- Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes 66% 1 shares