No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $549.14
- Potential payout
- $574.71
- Potential profit
- $25.57
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $49.14
Polymarket Trader
alexy973
0x4ad91aee93e02e48dc7cdefe7685224917ad126d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $657.02
- Realized PnL
- $12.71
- Win rate
- 10.5%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $423.04
- Potential profit
- $423.04
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $185.38
- Potential profit
- $185.38
- User PnL
- -$25.59
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $92.65
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $40.68
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$7.35
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.04
- Potential profit
- $119.04
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.75
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.75
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $1.89
- Potential payout
- $92.4
- Potential profit
- $90.51
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.91
- Potential profit
- $83.91
- User PnL
- -$14.5
Yes position
ECB rate cut in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $8.33
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $58.33
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $4.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $45.25
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.04
- Potential profit
- $44.04
- User PnL
- -$9.69
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.6
- Potential profit
- $35.6
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.05
- Potential profit
- $33.05
- User PnL
- -$9.92
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.03
- Potential profit
- $27.03
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.82
- Potential profit
- $22.82
- User PnL
- -$9.58
Yes position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.71
- Potential profit
- $14.71
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.29
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.08
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will DAX (DAX) hit 17400 (LOW) in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
Will DAX (DAX) hit 18450 (LOW) in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will DAX (DAX) hit 18900 (LOW) in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,000 (LOW) in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$7.57
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$11.61
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 10% 50 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 75% 133.33 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?Yes 0.3% 164.86 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Yes 0.3% 277.78 shares
- Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?Yes 34% 14.71 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 87% 574.71 shares
- Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?Yes 3.4% 58.82 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 96.9% 153.84 shares
- ECB rate cut in 2026?Yes 15% 66.67 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting?Yes 1.4% 73.06 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Yes 1.8% 277.78 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?Yes 3.6% 164.86 shares