Polymarket Trader

ug88923

0x4ae7d4b245aa765793d1d06c42ea5cbcc46a68d2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.21K
Realized PnL: $491.43
Win rate: 63.6%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.05K
Potential payout: $584.83K
Potential profit: $582.79K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$208.79

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $450
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $99.55K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $261.13
Potential payout: $58.03K
Potential profit: $57.77K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$203.1

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $883.91
Potential payout: $57.03K
Potential profit: $56.14K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $256.67

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $1.18K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $48.83K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $75

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.23K
Potential payout: $48.33K
Potential profit: $47.1K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $43.25

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $166.96
Potential payout: $10.12K
Potential profit: $9.95K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$45.52

Over position

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 5.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.11K
Potential profit: $2.11K
User PnL: -$75.94

Over position

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $2.1K
User PnL: -$210

Over position

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.81K
Potential profit: $1.81K
User PnL: -$415.2

Over position

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $799.99
Potential profit: $799.99
User PnL: -$328

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $135.97

Over position

Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.66

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $76.34

Over position

Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.6

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: $43.21

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: $30.14

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $12.9

Over position

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: -$2.51

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$9.89

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.5% 66,943.75 shares
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5

Over 25% 400 shares
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 5.5

Over 3.6% 10 shares
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 4.5

Over 10% 1,100 shares
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5

Over 23% 500 shares
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5

Over 69% 890 shares
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5

Over 69% 300 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 47% 200 shares
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5

Over 41% 163.22 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.4% 30,992.47 shares
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5

Over 69% 150 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 48% 200 shares