No position
Will Perplexity AI announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $217.04
- Potential payout
- $239.83
- Potential profit
- $22.78
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $17.04
Polymarket Trader
apostada
0x4af87e62ba09f545ca1a6f742d756f27ffa45f2f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $398.35
- Realized PnL
- $192.14
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $110.28
- Potential payout
- $113.17
- Potential profit
- $2.89
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $10.28
Yes position
Will Microsoft (MSFT) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of February 16?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77.92
- Potential profit
- $77.92
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of February 16?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.01
- Potential profit
- $57.01
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Amazon (AMZN) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of February 16?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $51
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $41
Yes position
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Tesla (TSLA) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of February 16?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $47.62
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Apple (AAPL) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of February 16?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.02
- Potential profit
- $46.02
- User PnL
- -$8.93
Yes position
Will Meta Platforms (META) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of February 16?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $25.64
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of February 16?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.71
- Potential profit
- $23.71
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
EU dissolves before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $20.03
- Potential payout
- $20.7
- Potential profit
- $0.67
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.43
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.7
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 1PM ET
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 11AM ET
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 9AM ET
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Dec 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12PM ET
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on December 4?
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 9AM ET
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Jerome Powell be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 10AM ET
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-10?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 31, 1PM ET
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Dec 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Tesla (TSLA) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of February 16?Yes 21% 47.62 shares
- Will Meta Platforms (META) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of February 16?Yes 39% 25.64 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of February 16?Yes 42.2% 23.71 shares
- Will Amazon (AMZN) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of February 16?Yes 19.6% 51 shares
- Will Alphabet (GOOGL) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of February 16?Yes 17.5% 57.01 shares
- Will Microsoft (MSFT) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of February 16?Yes 12.8% 77.92 shares
- Will Apple (AAPL) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of February 16?Yes 19.4% 46.02 shares
- Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027?No 88.4% 113.17 shares
- Will Perplexity AI announce bankruptcy before 2027?No 83.4% 239.83 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?No 99.3% 1,058.11 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January?No 99.1% 1,136.36 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January?No 88% 1,136.36 shares