Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
0x4afa...3a61
0x4afa97fdc3d2bc071607908809f07c21e0443a61
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $0.21
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.87
- Potential profit
- $7.87
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bologna win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Southampton wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will BSW win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Cowboys win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the Western Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will the Utah Jazz win the Western Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will the Bears win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will the Washington Wizards win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Ariana Grande be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 2?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 46% 6.38 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 47% 6.38 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes 63.5% 7.87 shares
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No 98.2% 122.96 shares
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No 98.4% 122.97 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETDown 50% 20 shares
- Will Ariana Grande be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No 99.8% 200.2 shares
- Will Ariana Grande be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No 99.9% 200.2 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 2?No 98.1% 293.6 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 2?No 98.2% 293.6 shares
- Will BSW win the most seats in the next German election?No 99.7% 1 shares
- Southampton wins the Premier League?No 99.7% 1 shares