Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $110.61
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Polymarket Trader
0x4afd...12ff
0x4afdc0568e0dceecaebc1968eb38387781b412ff
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $29.18
- Realized PnL
- $368.67
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.7
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $28.15
- Potential payout
- $28.15
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $13.23
Yes position
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.81
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.23
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $19
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.77
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.87
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.44
No position
Will Trump say "Nuke" in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.82
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Brexit" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.68
No position
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.97
No position
Will Trump say "Heaven" during Chinese State Banquet?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.24
No position
Will King Charles say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during State Opening?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.17
No position
Will Trump say "Golden Dome" in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.63
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Scotland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.78
No position
Will Trump say "America Last" in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.57
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.11
No position
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.43
No position
Will Trump say "Epstein" in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.09
No position
Will Trump say "Iwo Jima" in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.97
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.46
No position
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.05
No position
Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
Yes position
Will Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.84
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.83
No position
Will King Charles say "House / Housing" during State Opening?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.89
Yes position
Will King Charles say "Trump" during State Opening?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will King Charles say "Frankly" during State Opening?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes 46.3% 10.8 shares
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Yes 25% 4 shares
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?Yes 2.2% 45.45 shares
- Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes 9% 11.11 shares
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Yes 6% 16.67 shares
- Will Trump say "Epstein" in May?No 60% 16.58 shares
- Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?Yes 2.8% 50 shares
- Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?No 99.9% 14.58 shares
- Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?No 99.5% 15.07 shares
- Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?No 99.6% 17.45 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes 47.8% 10.46 shares
- Will Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?Yes 99.9% 3.84 shares