Polymarket Trader

gotchahomes

0x4b13d5d144aeb7f67de20d0ce62e3f3be7d0d8af

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $588.9
Realized PnL: $1.71K
Win rate: 64.3%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $445.4
Potential payout: $6.8K
Potential profit: $6.35K
Multiplier: 15.27x
User PnL: $295.8

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$461.99

Yes position

Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$54

Trail Blazers position

Raptors vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.98
Potential profit: $499.98
User PnL: -$214.99

Yes position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $58
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $342
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$134

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $44
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $356
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$48

Bills position

Bills vs. Texans

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$140

Yes position

Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $41.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $58.5
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$6.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $576

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $520.37

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $458.99

Yes position

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.99

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164

SMU Mustangs position

Arizona vs. SMU Mustangs

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $100

Nets position

Spread: Magic (-14.5)

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96

Yes position

Canada recession before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.6

Hawks position

Hawks vs. Spurs

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$77

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: November

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$84

Hawks position

Hawks vs. Raptors

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$172

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$252

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 2.2% 294.72 shares
US government shutdown Saturday?

Yes 59% 400 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 9% 1,000 shares
Arizona vs. SMU Mustangs

SMU Mustangs 52% 300 shares
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Yes 48% 12.78 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: November

No 12% 700 shares
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?

Yes 49% 1,020.33 shares