N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $5.38
- Potential payout
- $182.35
- Potential profit
- $176.97
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$156.52
Polymarket Trader
0xbB9A220e3f7D20060eAFD1f8DE14D83024c42843-1778059402200
0x4b1bc4dd569ddf67f0d793408cc47777deca4c46
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.38
- Realized PnL
- $30.51
- Win rate
- 56.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.74
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.54
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.29
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 88.8% 70.31 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 88.7% 8.85 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 88.8% 94.42 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 88% 159.51 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 92.2% 137.84 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 99.1% 123.59 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 89% 61.24 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 98.5% 55.38 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 84.1% 62.35 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.2% 56.2 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.5% 56.2 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 96.9% 55.39 shares