Yes position
SBF released from custody in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $4.88
- Potential payout
- $119.05
- Potential profit
- $114.17
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Polymarket Trader
0x5CD4F542eA0dE4633A746393cfC192E80C406207-1774675734016
0x4b1d2925250469bb627a5af960831b1bb095d38b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $74.81
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $9.73
- Potential payout
- $32.97
- Potential profit
- $23.24
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $4.86
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $22.92
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $18.52
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.44
- Potential profit
- $17.44
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $4.92
- Potential payout
- $16.13
- Potential profit
- $11.21
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $4.65
- Potential payout
- $13.89
- Potential profit
- $9.24
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $5.58
- Potential payout
- $12.82
- Potential profit
- $7.24
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $7.74
- Potential payout
- $12.2
- Potential profit
- $4.45
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $2.74
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $4.94
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $6.69
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $5.25
- Potential payout
- $9.8
- Potential profit
- $4.56
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $4.95
- Potential payout
- $9.62
- Potential profit
- $4.66
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $5.05
- Potential payout
- $9.43
- Potential profit
- $4.39
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $6.96
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $1.37
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $5.31
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes 43% 11.63 shares
- SBF released from custody in 2026?Yes 4.2% 119.05 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?Yes 39% 12.82 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?Yes 51% 9.8 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?No 41% 12.2 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 7?No 90% 5.56 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-07-06?Yes 36% 13.89 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?Yes 52% 9.62 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?Yes 31% 16.13 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Yes 53% 9.43 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?Yes 18% 27.78 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-04?Yes 84% 8.33 shares