No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$144
Polymarket Trader
km11
0x4b240719ecf95e528d3327388ed34a5b9200d7e9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $5.95K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Molnupiravir before 2022?
Ends Dec 31, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 1323394.16x
- User PnL
- $932.94
No position
Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022?
Ends Jan 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 869692.93x
- User PnL
- $456.87
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the ‘21-’22 Superbowl?
Ends Feb 13, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $413.97
No position
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15?
Ends Nov 22, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 7160477.28x
- User PnL
- $408.44
N
No position
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022?
Ends Jan 8, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 2059373.90x
- User PnL
- $362.6
Yes position
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021?
Ends Mar 15, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $361.91
No position
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 300k or more by January 8?
Ends Jan 15, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 4487863.98x
- User PnL
- $298.62
No position
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on April 1, 2021?
Ends Apr 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 11003331.62x
- User PnL
- $252
Y
Yes position
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220.05
Yes position
Will a Category 5 Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 6918400.34x
- User PnL
- $214.85
No position
Will Squid Game remain the #1 Netflix show in the US throughout the first week of October?
Ends Oct 7, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 6255936.43x
- User PnL
- $192.69
Y
Yes position
Will ETH be above $1500 on March 7th, 2021?
Ends Mar 7, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.64
Yes position
Will American mask usage be 75% or higher on April 14th, 2021?
Ends Apr 14, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 6935612.42x
- User PnL
- $180.27
Short position
What will Coinbase’s market cap be 1 week after it starts publicly trading?
Ends Sep 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 21%
- Multiplier
- 4.75x
- User PnL
- $162.26
Yes position
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
Ends Jan 8, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.51
Mavericks position
Will the Celtics or the Mavericks win their February 23rd matchup?
Ends Feb 23, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.02
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on June 1, 2021?
Ends Jun 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.03
Yes position
Will President Biden say “Trump” during his August 26 speech + Q&A?
Ends Aug 26, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.72
No position
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.09
Y
Yes position
Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021?
Ends Jan 20, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.05
No position
Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
Ends Jan 4, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 12188738.19x
- User PnL
- $115.56
No position
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021?
Ends Oct 5, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104
Yes position
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on April 1, 2021?
Ends Apr 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.3
Cardinals position
NFL Sunday: Raiders vs. Cardinals
Ends Sep 18, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed cut rates in 2023?Yes 2.6% 608.62 shares
- Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31Musk 47% 300 shares
- Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?No 89% 495.47 shares
- Will the Fed cut rates in 2023?Yes 58% 86.21 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting?Yes 24.1% 0.66 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting?Yes 24% 50 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting?Yes 25% 100 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting?Yes 26% 250 shares
- NCAAB: Indiana Hoosiers vs. Miami (FL) Hurricanes 2023-03-19Indiana 56% 53.57 shares
- Will the Fed cut rates in 2023?Yes 58% 22.41 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting?Yes 26% 180.77 shares
- Will Credit Suisse fail by March 31?Yes 98% 510.2 shares