Yes position
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $4.09
- Potential payout
- $2.73K
- Potential profit
- $2.72K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$99.16
Polymarket Trader
johnnath1222
0x4b284723fa3c53a46d5217394840ec3b70c615df
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.79K
- Realized PnL
- $9.04K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $370.61
- Potential payout
- $2.39K
- Potential profit
- $2.02K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $25.68
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $261.61
- Potential payout
- $2.27K
- Potential profit
- $2.01K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $352.5
- Potential payout
- $2.27K
- Potential profit
- $1.92K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $51.47
Yes position
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $25.31
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $1.34K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$145.72
Yes position
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $883
- Potential profit
- $883
- User PnL
- -$4.42
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $709.73
- Potential profit
- $709.73
- User PnL
- -$3.85
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $560.72
- Potential profit
- $560.72
- User PnL
- -$5.02
Yes position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $509.95
- Potential profit
- $509.95
- User PnL
- -$3.06
Yes position
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $5.48
- Potential payout
- $497.98
- Potential profit
- $492.5
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$36.71
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $337.89
- Potential payout
- $402.49
- Potential profit
- $64.6
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $67.01
Yes position
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.6%
- Current value
- $126.4
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $273.6
- Multiplier
- 3.16x
- User PnL
- $79.2
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,900 on the final trading day of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $345.8
- Potential profit
- $345.8
- User PnL
- -$29.94
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Ends Jan 20, 2029- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $181
- Potential payout
- $280.62
- Potential profit
- $99.62
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $5.02
Yes position
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $79.33
- Potential payout
- $260.09
- Potential profit
- $180.76
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $45.31
Yes position
Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $38.71
- Potential payout
- $249.71
- Potential profit
- $211.01
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $19.6
Yes position
Joe Kent charged by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $219.26
- Potential profit
- $219.26
- User PnL
- -$2.63
No position
Will there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$14
No position
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$4.5
No position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $199.99
- User PnL
- -$34
Yes position
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by June 2?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $188.22
- Potential profit
- $188.22
- User PnL
- -$4.7
Yes position
Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $10.05
- Potential payout
- $167.54
- Potential profit
- $157.49
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- $4.64
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $65-$70 in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.51
- Potential profit
- $166.51
- User PnL
- -$6.66
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $80-$85 in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $148.83
- Potential profit
- $148.83
- User PnL
- -$11.56
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Steve Garvey get first place in the California Senate Primary?
Ends Mar 3, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $820.41
Yes position
Will Trump win the South Carolina Primary by between 30-40% of the vote?
Ends Feb 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $711.49
Yes position
Will Trump win the Michigan Primary by between 40-50% of the vote?
Ends Feb 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $562.53
Yes position
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $503.56
Yes position
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
Ends Jan 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $492.86
No position
Will Steve Garvey get first place in the California Senate Primary?
Ends Mar 3, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $453.76
Yes position
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Ends Jan 3, 2027- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $429.51
Yes position
Will Adam Schiff get first place in the California Senate Primary?
Ends Feb 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $365.76
No position
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $364.67
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $358.82
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330.62
No position
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $327.59
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $316.79
No position
Mexican Presidential Election: Will Xóchitl Gálvez win?
Ends May 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the New Hampshire Republican Primary?
Ends Jan 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $307.13
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.3
No position
Will Adam Schiff get first place in the California Senate Primary?
Ends Feb 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $293.58
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $290.34
Yes position
Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $286.57
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.96
Yes position
Will Trump announce a cut to U.S. military or intelligence aid to Ukraine by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $244.13
No position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $241.93
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.25
Yes position
Will fewer than 50k federal employees accept the buyout?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $236.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by July 31?Yes 13.1% 260.09 shares
- Will Democratic Senate incumbents not win in exactly one nominating election in the 2026 cycle?Yes 1.7% 42.9 shares
- Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes 1.6% 149.45 shares
- Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes 1.5% 234.42 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 22% 125.1 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 22% 15 shares
- Kash Patel out by June 30?Yes 2% 497.66 shares
- Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?Yes 6.5% 499.99 shares
- Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.2% 147.98 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?Yes 33.9% 204.57 shares
- Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?No 39% 634.5 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 53% 100 shares