No position
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $56.94K
- Potential payout
- $80.77K
- Potential profit
- $23.83K
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$10.75K
Polymarket Trader
f2hf84hg52h5
0x4b2995b6c8cc2cf56899ad62ee87c3f70c97716f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $161.66K
- Realized PnL
- $27.16K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $60.6K
- Potential payout
- $61K
- Potential profit
- $396.5
- User PnL
- $891.15
No position
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $11.42K
- Potential payout
- $11.46K
- Potential profit
- $45.85
- User PnL
- $1.9K
No position
Epstein client list released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $10.57K
- Potential payout
- $10.68K
- Potential profit
- $117.52
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.04K
No position
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $8.85K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $1.85K
No position
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $4.43K
- Potential payout
- $5.24K
- Potential profit
- $812.72
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $236.49
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $2.71K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $285
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $375
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $2.08K
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $218.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $264.5
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.16K
- Potential profit
- $2.16K
- User PnL
- -$1.88K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.04K
- Potential profit
- $2.04K
- User PnL
- -$1.4K
No position
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $1.5K
- Potential payout
- $1.97K
- Potential profit
- $473.35
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $47.38
No position
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $1.55K
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $26.84
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $268.37
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1K
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $81.92
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $113.38
Yes position
Will Macklin Celebrini win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.35
- Potential profit
- $18.35
- User PnL
- -$0.64
No position
Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $1.04
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.29K
No position
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32K
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
No position
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
No position
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $919.19
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $882.96
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $850
Yes position
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $770.44
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $769.9
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $766.62
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $750
No position
Epstein client list released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $613.6
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $599.23
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $474.98
No position
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $430.66
Yes position
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $373.99
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $370.85
No position
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $344.58
No position
Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $340
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 79% 2,300 shares
- Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 99.8% 1,530.39 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No 97.9% 61,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 97.7% 58,000 shares
- Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?No 95.9% 476.56 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 97.7% 469.76 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No 42% 51.42 shares
- Epstein client list released by June 30?No 90% 642.82 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 96.4% 2,193.53 shares
- Epstein client list released by June 30?No 89% 2,391.07 shares
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?No 98.8% 1,175.08 shares
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?No 99% 5,031.66 shares