0x4B3E845AA1211Fb7AED70eCbD6c444AD5eaD417b-1783070638037

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.97K
Potential profit: $1.97K
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $521.75
Potential profit: $521.75
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $508.33
Potential profit: $508.33
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Down position

XRP Up or Down - July 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $278.24
Potential profit: $278.24
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $6.6
Potential payout: $99.2
Potential profit: $92.6
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$0.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.56
Potential profit: $56.56
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $9.21
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $43.42
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.79

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $38.09
Potential profit: $34.09
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.03
Potential profit: $36.03
User PnL: -$24.86

Yes position

Will "Trump" be said 10+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 6?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $6.83
Potential payout: $27.3
Potential profit: $20.48
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$3.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.66
Potential profit: $24.66
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will "World Cup" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 6?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $4.81
Potential payout: $23.48
Potential profit: $18.67
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.8
Potential profit: $9.8
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.7
Potential profit: $5.7
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.14

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 51%
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: -$0.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET